Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-09 0.006710 0.007507 0.008375 0.009394 0.010560 0.011857 0.013412
2025-03-16 0.005223 0.006255 0.007473 0.009025 0.010966 0.013331 0.016457
2025-03-23 0.004514 0.005654 0.007071 0.008982 0.011522 0.014822 0.019502
2025-03-30 0.004183 0.005438 0.007068 0.009376 0.012607 0.017051 0.023762
2025-04-06 0.003695 0.004943 0.006624 0.009092 0.012699 0.017891 0.026150
2025-04-13 0.003312 0.004544 0.006252 0.008846 0.012780 0.018683 0.028527
2025-04-20 0.003060 0.004297 0.006061 0.008825 0.013169 0.019952 0.031796
2025-04-27 0.002928 0.004207 0.006081 0.009111 0.014048 0.022072 0.036763
2025-05-04 0.002734 0.004005 0.005912 0.009079 0.014401 0.023363 0.040475
2025-05-11 0.002584 0.003856 0.005808 0.009134 0.014894 0.024935 0.044920
2025-05-18 0.002418 0.003667 0.005622 0.009032 0.015099 0.026011 0.048572
2025-05-25 0.002312 0.003566 0.005569 0.009144 0.015686 0.027846 0.054018
2025-06-01 0.002172 0.003403 0.005410 0.009074 0.015967 0.029198 0.058843
2025-06-08 0.001991 0.003162 0.005103 0.008717 0.015676 0.029412 0.061284
2025-06-15 0.001883 0.003034 0.004978 0.008676 0.015983 0.030864 0.066783
2025-06-22 0.001851 0.003035 0.005074 0.009054 0.017162 0.034295 0.077659
2025-06-29 0.001724 0.002858 0.004843 0.008782 0.016980 0.034754 0.081274
2025-07-06 0.001613 0.002704 0.004639 0.008545 0.016844 0.035297 0.085215
2025-07-13 0.001540 0.002614 0.004549 0.008525 0.017169 0.036943 0.092470
2025-07-20 0.001512 0.002602 0.004601 0.008800 0.018176 0.040349 0.105458
2025-07-27 0.001447 0.002519 0.004511 0.008769 0.018486 0.042097 0.114018
2025-08-03 0.001397 0.002459 0.004463 0.008822 0.018993 0.044421 0.124926
2025-08-10 0.001333 0.002370 0.004350 0.008724 0.019131 0.045795 0.133141